The new Iowa Caucus pre-election polls...

...are on crack.

Hey look, Obama is winning by 9%!
(Or maybe he's just winning by 8%... but the important thing is that he *IS* winning, and has the momentum.)

Unless you listen to Rasmussen, who says that Hillary is winning by 3%, and that she's been climbing in the national polls, despite her campaign's constant gaffes.
  
(Rasmussen also says that Hillary Clinton leads in being the candidate who the most Americans would vote against.)

Of course, there's also a chance that all of these polls are meaningless, and that John Edwards is leading by 4%.

So, while all of these polls are accurate within about a 5% margin of error, several of them are also wildly inaccurate, with a 100% chance of certainty. The statistical chance of such widespread polling discrepencies are, of course, too small to calculate.