Somewhat over 50% of Americans right now don't trust Bush. Approximately the same percentage didn't trust Kerry.
More of them trust Kerry now. He answered the questions more completely, and did so in ways that stood out in stark contrast to most of Bush's responses. Bush was on the defensive most of the debate, and dodged a lot of tough questions. John Kerry dodged a few too, but was more direct and honest... and ultimately more personable than we've usually seen him in the past.
Bush's biggest flub: To fail to answer what he thought were his three biggest failures.
Kerry's biggest flub: Not to point that out, and not to respond back with three failings of his own. He could've put the election away had he done so.
This debate should establish Kerry as top dog. I think voters are connecting more to Kerry and fearing less... especially after Kerry's promise not to increase their taxes. *THAT* was the key moment of this debate. Kerry's got a week to change focus and nail down his economic and domestic issue zingers against Bush. He will do so. This debate was just an appetizer, as far as that was concerned. Next week, he'll look as substantial as steak. Bush will look like dead meat. The summit is in sight. The rest is downhill. The fear is over. The clouds are passing. The way forward is clear.
As Churchill said after victory in the battle over Britain's skies, "This is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning."