"The new Zogby polls came out after today's update. They will be in tomorrow's update."
Actually, they didn't. I contacted the webmaster, letting them know that they had been out for a couple of days now -- they were mentioned in several major news articles -- and that he was using 11-day-old results in Wisconsin.
If he adds the Zogby results, Kerry should get credit for 17 electoral votes in Michigan, 10 in Wisconsin, and 5 in Nevada, with Florida and Arkansas going into the "too close to call" category.
What this seems to indicate?
Kerry 285 , Bush 199 ... 270 electoral votes needed to win.
Sure, polls aren't everything, but it still feels nice to see the facade stripped away now and then. This is Kerry's race to lose.