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Tuesday, March 11th, 2008

    Time Event
    2:15a
    NY Gov. Spitzer -- a corrupt, hypocritical idiot.

    As most of you probably know by now, New York Governor Eliot Spitzer has gotten himself into hot water as a known client of a sex ring / high priced escort service.

    The charges that Spitzer face are quite serious, too:

    - Violating the Mann Act, which carries a penalty of up to 20 years imprisonment for knowingly persuading or inducing any individual to cross state lines for the purposes of prostitution.

    - Structuring: creating a series of financial movements designed to evade reporting requirements for large transactions and to obscure the true purpose of the payments. The maximum penalty is five years imprisonment and a $250,000 fine.

    - Prostitution (up to 90 days in jail, or a fine of up to $500, or both, for the first offense.)

    Not enough can be said about just how idiotic Spitzer's behavior is, especially considering that he is the former Attorney General of New York, whose former career was supposedly based on fighting corruption. In fact, it was only four years ago when he boasted about busting up a massive prostitution ring, promising to send sex workers and ring organizers away for up to 25 years.

    Amazingly enough, Spitzer doesn't seem like he's planning on resigning anytime soon. He even referred to it as a "private matter" in his press conference yesterday, despite the obvious implication that it is now anything but. Certainly, it's not viewed that way by most New Yorkers. A new SurveyUSA poll indicates that a 58%-32% majority of New Yorkers say that Spitzer should resign.

    The survey also indicates that support for his resignation cuts across all demographics — gender, age, race, party, ideology, marital status, region, and support for presidential candidates — with the only variation being in by just how much these different groups want him to go.

    But will he go?! I kind of doubt he will do so without a great deal of prodding, in part because this whole issue is becoming politicized. You see, both Spitzer and his possible replacement are Clinton superdelegates. If Spitzer steps down, his replacement would gain control of Spitzer's superdelegate vote, but lose control of his own, and would be unable to name a replacement... thereby losing Hillary Clinton one delegate in the presidential race.

    As a result, expect Clinton's supporters to spend the next several months defending a corrupt, hypocritical lame duck politician, who potentially faces multiple years in prison, on multiple counts of several of the aforementioned crimes. (As you might note, this is historically a pretty normal "state of affairs" for diehard Clinton supporters.)  

    So, what is it about hopelessly damaged New York politicians that they won't step aside and give another skilled party member a chance, instead of dragging their party and everything they stand for down in a pique of total career suicide?!  Just sayin'...  

    9:00p
    Obama blowout in Mississippi.

    With 99% reporting, it's...

    Barack Obama 61%
    Hillary Clinton 37%

    CNN is showing about a six delegate pick-up for Obama so far, but that number could go up further... which would translate into a delegate pick-up for Obama equal to or perhaps even greater than Hillary Clinton's pick-up in Ohio.

    This is an especially strong Obama performance, considering the degree to which Limbaugh's supporters in a very Republican state apparently tried to swing this contest.

    As CNN reports from their exit polls:
    "Thirteen percent of the voters in today's Democratic primary identified themselves as Republican; they voted for Clinton, 78 percent to 22 percent."

    Given that Barack Obama traditionally has garnered about 60% of the Republican vote in contests prior to Limbaugh's interference in the Democratic primaries, this means that approximately 8% of the total vote in this race may be reasonably attributed to the "Limbaugh effect". That's about 25% of all Hillary Clinton's white supporters.

    This claim is also backed up by CNN's various exit poll results:
    - 70% of voters who viewed John McCain in a strongly favorable way voted for Hillary Clinton.
    - 57% of voters who viewed McCain favorably voted for Hillary Clinton.
    - The only sections of Mississippi that favored Hillary Clinton were in disproportionately Republican, predominantly white counties.
    - The 7% of voters dissatisfied with both Democratic candidates voted for Hillary by a 75% margin.

    In short, it appears that without Limbaugh's help, Hillary would've lost the race by something more like a 66%-33% margin. Rush probably cost Obama a delegate or two, but Obama *still* won decisively.

    Fortunately, the fatboy won't have an easy time manipulating the outcome in Pennsylvania...

    10:30p
    Texas is Obama Country.



    CNN finally calls the Texas Caucus for Barack Obama.

    "though Clinton won more delegates than Obama in the primary, 65 to 61, Obama's wider delegate margin in the caucuses gives him the overall statewide delegate lead, 99 to 94"

    So, that's a five delegate win for Obama in Texas, and a three-win streak for Obama after tonight.

    In other news, apparently the major news sources got their delegate count wrong in California. As a result, Obama picks up an extra four delegates, and Hillary loses the same.   

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